Reticle: Prediction Journal

Everyone has opinions about what will happen. Almost nobody checks. Reticle turns your hunches into a track record you can actually score.

Reticle is a prediction journal that measures how good your judgment actually is. Log a prediction with a confidence level, resolve it when the answer arrives, and watch your real calibration emerge — the honest gap between how sure you feel and how often you turn out to be right.

WHY KEEP A PREDICTION JOURNAL Everyone has opinions about what will happen. Almost no one checks. Reticle closes the loop: it turns your hunches into a track record, so "I knew that would happen" becomes something you can actually measure — and improve.

FIVE-SECOND CAPTURE Log a prediction the moment you have it: a statement, a confidence slider, and when you'll know. That's it. Less than 50% sure? Slide below the middle and Reticle flips it to the other side of the claim, so the math stays honest.

RESOLVE WHEN IT'S DUE Reticle reminds you the day each prediction comes due, right on your device. One tap: did it happen, didn't it, or can't it be judged anymore? Your scorecard updates immediately.

SEE YOUR REAL CALIBRATION Once you've resolved enough predictions, Reticle shows the numbers that matter:

• Your Brier score — a single honest measure of forecasting accuracy
• A calibration curve — when you say 70%, are you actually right 70% of the time?
• Plain-language verdicts — "most overconfident in the 90s," not a wall of statistics

HONEST BY DESIGN Predictions can't be edited after you log them — a prediction you can rewrite isn't a prediction. Scores unlock only once you have enough data to be meaningful, never before. There's no confetti for a lucky hit; the point is calibration, not winning.

BRING YOUR HISTORY Already track predictions somewhere else? Import your history from Fatebook, PredictionBook, or a previous Reticle export — Reticle keeps your questions, confidence levels, dates, and resolutions. Export anytime: your data is yours.

PRIVATE BY ARCHITECTURE No account. No analytics. No server. Every prediction, score, and reminder lives only on your iPhone. Nothing you write ever leaves your device.

FREE TO START Your first 10 resolved predictions come with the full scorecard. After that, logging stays free forever — Reticle Pro unlocks the ongoing scorecard (Brier score, calibration curves, per-confidence verdicts), tags and filtering, and CSV import/export.

Reticle Pro is $5.99/month, $39.99/year with 1 month free, or a one-time $99.99 lifetime purchase. Subscriptions renew automatically unless cancelled at least 24 hours before the period ends.

Reticle involves no betting, no real money, and no prizes of any kind. It is a personal journaling and self-assessment tool — an honest scoreboard for your own judgment. Make a call. See how it goes. Get sharper.

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