StatPad — NFL Analytics

Every NFL game, player prop, and team trend — modeled, graded, and tracked in public. See what the model likes this week and how it's done all season.

StatPad is an NFL analytics desk in your pocket. The same models that power statpad.ai — win probabilities, projected margins, player prop forecasts, and team power ratings — rebuilt natively for iPhone.

THE SLATE Every game this week with market lines, model projections, and win probabilities. Tap any game for the full breakdown: projected margin and total curves against the market line, coach and QB matchups, power-rating edges by unit, prop forecasts for the game, recent meetings, weather, referee tendencies, and the injury report.

PLAYER PROPS Distribution forecasts for nine prop markets — passing, rushing, receiving, touchdowns, and kicker points. Every projection shows the full probability curve, not just a number. When sportsbooks post lines, StatPad grades its own picks in public: record, ROI, and profit tracked for every player, all season.

ROGER, THE AI ANALYST Ask anything in plain English — season projections, draft boards, player comparisons, matchup deep-dives. Roger answers from StatPad's own models and 25+ seasons of data, shows which AI model produced each answer, and never guesses a number it can't source.

RESEARCH DESK Deep pages for every player, team, and referee. Player cards show how a player has performed against every line we tracked. Team pages break down covers by situation — home, road, favorite, underdog — plus what tailing them straight up, against the spread, or on totals would have returned.

POWER RATINGS Bayesian team ratings updated weekly, with offense and defense splits and full-season trajectories.

COMPARE Head-to-head player comparisons with shared-stat probability edges and fantasy point projections.

HONEST BY DESIGN StatPad shows its work. Every pick the model makes is graded and displayed — wins, losses, and profit — with no cherry-picking. Projections come with uncertainty ranges because point estimates lie.

StatPad is a research and analytics tool. It does not accept or place wagers and is not a sportsbook. If you choose to bet, bet responsibly.

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