RateRadar: Fed & ECB

Real, market-implied odds for every upcoming Fed and ECB rate decision - recomputed daily from futures, with the full 60-day history. Never scraped.

RateRadar tracks the market-implied probability of every upcoming Federal Reserve (Fed) and European Central Bank (ECB) interest-rate decision - and how those odds have moved over the last 60 days.

WHAT YOU GET

• Every outcome, every meeting: hold, cut, or hike, with a clean probability for each.
• The most-likely rate path, chained meeting by meeting.
• The implied forward-rate curve, priced from real market data.
• Fed vs ECB divergence at a glance.
• Historical tracking: odds snapshotted daily and kept, so you see the shift, not just today.

HOW IT WORKS We compute our own numbers from 30-Day Fed Funds Futures and STR/DFR data using the published step-function decomposition. We never scrape CME FedWatch or ECB Watch. The full method is in the app (Methodology), versioned so you can trust the history.

Built for retail first: finance terms are explained, not assumed.