RateRadar: Fed Rate Tracker

RateRadar shows the implied odds of a Fed or ECB cut, hold, or hike at each meeting, plus 60 days of history. Odds computed from futures, never scraped.

RateRadar is an iPhone app that tracks the market-implied probability of every upcoming US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank interest rate decision, showing whether a hold, cut, or hike is priced in, plus 60 days of history of how those odds have moved. It computes its own probabilities in-house from 30 Day Fed Funds Futures and STR and DFR market data using the published step function method, and never scrapes CME FedWatch or ECB Watch. See a cut, hold, or hike coming before the meeting.

WHAT YOU GET • Live odds for every Fed and ECB meeting: hold, cut, or hike, each with a clean probability. • The most likely rate path, chained meeting by meeting. • The implied forward rate curve, priced from real market data. • Fed vs ECB divergence at a glance. • 60 days of probability history: odds saved daily and kept, so you see the shift, not just today. • Meeting reminders and sharp move alerts, on your device, refreshed on our after session cadence.

JARGON, EXPLAINED New to this? The FOMC is the Fed committee that sets US rates. Basis points (bps) are hundredths of a percent. Hold, cut, and hike mean no change, lower, or higher. Every term links to a plain English glossary in the app.

HOW IT WORKS We compute our own numbers from 30 Day Fed Funds Futures and STR and DFR data using the published step function method. We never scrape CME FedWatch or ECB Watch. The full method lives in the app under Methodology, versioned so you can trust the history.

Built for retail first. Not financial advice.