Statistips

81% accuracy across the 2026 AFL season and counting. Goodbye guesswork.

Statistips - Data-Driven Sports Analytics Probabilities, not predictions. Statistips runs a machine learning model trained on a decade of AFL and NBA match data — and shows you the work.

Currently tracking 81% season accuracy across AFL 2026. Updated weekly. Published openly.

WHAT YOU GET • Honest match probabilities. Every game gets a win probability, predicted margin, and total score — calculated from team strength, recent form, injuries, weather, venue effects, and head-to-head history.

• Round Insights. Spot where our model's probability differs from the market price. The bigger the gap, the stronger the statistical signal.

• Stat Combo Builder (Pro). Multi-leg stat combinations priced from real player correlations — e.g. when a midfielder gets 25+ disposals, how often does the forward also kick 2+. Not naive multiplication; the actual joint rate from historical data.

• Player analysis. Recent form, per-game averages, teammate correlations, opponent matchup splits. Every AFL and NBA player with prop lines, every round.

• Weather-adjusted scoring. AFL predictions account for wet-weather team affinity — which sides thrive when kicking accuracy drops, which struggle.

• Injury impact, quantified. Key player outs converted to a team ELO adjustment, so a close game doesn't surprise you when the model says otherwise.

• Power Rankings that weight strength of schedule, not just wins.

• Full season schedule. Every round, every game. Predictions lock 4 hours before bounce so you always see the exact forecast we made at game time — no after-the-fact revisionism.

WHY IT'S DIFFERENT Most tipping sites hand you a "tip" and a confidence %. Statistips hands you the actual probability, the features the model weighted, and its recent accuracy history. If our model says 62%, we mean 62% — and we publish the receipts so you can hold us to it.

FREE Try the full model on a sample each round: • Up to 2 game predictions per round (the opener + a marquee Sunday match) • 2 Round Insight previews • 2 Stat Combo Builder suggestions • Ladder, fixtures, live scores, full season schedule

PRO — AUD $9.99/MONTH Unlock everything: • Every game, every round, fully unlocked • Stat Combo Builder (unlimited combinations + saved combos) • Full Round Insights across the slate • Player correlations, weather insights, power rankings • Head-to-head, player compare • Full model stats + recent accuracy breakdown

Subscription auto-renews monthly until cancelled in Settings → Apple ID → Subscriptions. Restore Purchases is available on the paywall and Account page.

IMPORTANT Statistips is a statistical analysis platform, not a gambling service. We do not accept bets, facilitate wagers, or process gambling payments. All predictions are probabilistic forecasts, not guarantees. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

If gambling is causing harm, call 1800 858 858 or visit BetStop to self-exclude from all Australian wagering services.

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