Soccer Factor Model

Advanced soccer analytics at your fingertips. Scoring probabilities, player performance tracking, and skill metrics for Europe's top leagues.

The Soccer Factor Model (SFM) brings soccer analytics to your phone. Track player performance across Europe's top leagues with data-driven insights, based on a statistical Bayesian regression model.

Scoring Probabilities See match-by-match goal scoring probabilities for +1,000 players. Our model calculates the likelihood of 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals. Predictions for upcoming games are updated weekly throughout the regular season. Sign up for free to also see the SFM's historical predictions, as well as uncertainty bands around each prediction.

SFM Tracker Follow your favorite players with curated weekly picks. See how top strikers are performing and discover trending players across the Bundesliga, Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, and Ligue 1.

SFM Universe Browse the complete database of players across all supported leagues. Search, filter, and dive into detailed player profiles.

SAR/PAR Skill Metrics Go beyond goals with our proprietary SAR (Skill Above Replacement) and PAR (Performance Above Replacement) metrics. Understand the full picture of a player's contribution.

Player X-Ray Deep-dive into individual player profiles with historical performance data, match-by-match breakdowns, and trend analysis.

Features: • Scoring probability predictions for 5 major European leagues • Player leaderboards ranked by model scores • Weekly tracker picks with top performers • SAR/PAR skill ratings • Detailed player profiles with historical data • Dark mode design optimized for readability