Golmetria Football Predictions

Golmetria publishes a short list of football predictions every day, built by a statistical model rather than by opinion.

Every pick shows its work: the estimated probability, the approximate odds, the expected goals for each side and one line explaining where the number came from. If you disagree with the reasoning, you can see it and skip the pick.

WHAT YOU GET

• A handful of picks a day, released through the day — not a firehose
• Match result and over/under 2.5 goals markets
• Expected goals for both sides on every prediction
• Approximate bookmaker odds so you can judge the price yourself
• Live league tables, fixtures and referee records

THE FULL RECORD, INCLUDING THE MISSES

Most tipsters show you their wins. Golmetria shows you everything: hit rate, wins, losses, current streak and units up or down, month by month. Nothing is quietly deleted when it goes wrong. A settled pick keeps its final score and its result on the card, forever.

COVERAGE

Premier League, LaLiga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1 and Primeira Liga.

HOW THE PICKS ARE MADE

An attack and defence rating for every team, turned into an expected goals figure for each side of a fixture, then into a probability for each outcome. Picks are only published when the model's probability and the available price both clear a threshold — which is why some days there are no picks at all.

FREE, NO ACCOUNT

No sign-up, no subscription, no paywall. Ads keep it free.

IMPORTANT

For information and entertainment only. This is not betting advice and it does not guarantee results. Nothing here is a sure thing — a 66% prediction is wrong one time in three. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.