# Bayou Probability

> See the future. Quantify the unknown. Real-world risk, backed by real math.

Canonical page: [https://chrome-stats.com/d/com.bayoubyte.bayou\_probability](https://chrome-stats.com/d/com.bayoubyte.bayou_probability)

## Overview

- **ID:** `com.bayoubyte.bayou_probability`
- **Platform:** Android
- **Type:** Android app
- **Status:** Available
- **Publisher:** Bayou Byte Studio
- **Category:** ENTERTAINMENT
- **Downloads:** 2
- **Version:** 0.13.2
- **Last updated:** 2026-08-27
- **First published:** 2026-08-27
- **Publisher country:** US
- **Size:** 26 MB
- **Data as of:** 2026-10-21
- **Store listing:** [Google Play Store](https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.bayoubyte.bayou_probability)
- **Website:** [https://bayoubytestudio.com/](https://bayoubytestudio.com/)
- **Privacy policy:** [https://bayoubytestudio.com/bayou-probability-privacy](https://bayoubytestudio.com/bayou-probability-privacy)

## Description

Bayou Probability is a calm, intelligence-style command center for real-world risk.<br><br>It analyzes public data, historical patterns, and advanced mathematics to estimate the likelihood of important events before they happen — severe weather, power outages, disease activity, traffic, and more. Always a probability, never a certainty.<br><br>BUILT ON REAL SCIENCE<br>Every number comes from data and established mathematics — Bayesian inference, time-series models, Monte Carlo simulation, and ensemble forecasting — never guesswork. When the data isn&#39;t there, the app says so instead of faking a confident answer.<br><br>TRANSPARENT &amp; EXPLAINABLE<br>Tap any probability to see exactly why it changed: the drivers, the reasons, and an honest forecast-versus-actual track record with real accuracy scores. Confidence is shown separately from probability, so you always know how much to trust a number.<br><br>PRIVACY FIRST<br>No accounts, no tracking, no ads. Your preferences stay on your device. Bayou Probability is a read-only client — it never uploads information about you.<br><br>THE EXPERIENCE<br>- A local probability map and active-event cards<br>- &quot;Why did this change&quot; explanations for every estimate<br>- A forecast history that grades itself against real outcomes<br>- A dark, focused interface designed for decisions<br><br>The core experience is free. Optional Pro tiers and event packs add more categories, deeper explanations, and longer history.<br><br>Probabilities are estimates meant to inform your decisions — never to replace your judgment.

## Rankings

- #3,321,051 — Overall

## Permissions and access

### Permissions

- `android.permission.ACCESS_NETWORK_STATE`
- `android.permission.INTERNET`
- `android.permission.POST_NOTIFICATIONS`
- `android.permission.VIBRATE`
- `com.android.vending.BILLING`
- `com.android.vending.CHECK_LICENSE`
- `com.bayoubyte.bayou_probability.DYNAMIC_RECEIVER_NOT_EXPORTED_PERMISSION`

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Source: [Chrome-Stats](https://chrome-stats.com/d/com.bayoubyte.bayou_probability)